Loving The Race Horse
http://lovingtheracehorse.com
Loving The Race Horse

Narrowing Down a Dream

Over the years my style of picking my horse(s) for the Kentucky Derby has altered course, reasoning and strategy. Now - everyone is different which leads to MANY ways to pick a horse for the big day.

I am not a fan of picking by name or color or number. That's how you play the lottery.

Once upon a time - my choices were because of color (loved the grays). But I'm no longer in kindergarten so I've moved on from that option. (that was for you Amy M.)

What can make me NOT like a horse for the Derby:

Owner/Jockey/Trainer's attitude. So your horse is doing really well and before the Derby you start making comments that they are unbeatable, going to win the Triple Crown ('cause that works out right?), etc. Quickly I discount that horses chances. It's a jinx to me. If you get too cocky - and voice that feeling - suddenly the gods of racing smite you. Be careful Bob Baffert - you're getting too close to this with Lookin' at Lucky comments. Danger danger. So far no one has jumped aboard this chuck wagon this year.

Horse name. So I won't pick a horse for it's name - but I most certainly will not pick a horse with a name I don't think is worthy of a Derby winner. The Derby is historic - to win it and be carried throughout history - you can't have a crap name like Tookin' Down (no offense to that horse), and you can't have an expectant name like Twin Spires (hello) or Triple Crown (ok he made it to the Derby in 73 with Secretariat- funny). What names I'm not a fan of for 2010? Top of the list is Eskenderaya. I know I know but it's the name of a type of Belly Dance - which is typically done by women - though I've seen some men do it (yeah let's leave that alone today). I don't like a feminine name on a colt going for the biggest named race in all our sport - that will also head for stud duty later. It is feminine and sounds feminine. Awesome name for a filly. Next on the list Lookin' at Lucky. It's not a horrid name like Lil E. Tee (I know right?) but I'm not head over heals about it. Luckily (pun) there are things about him that intrigue me enough to possibly overlook what would be a perfect gelding name.
 
I also don't like the unoriginal name. Where a lazy breeder combined the sire and dams name to come up with a cute mix. Sure that happens all the time but it does not impress me - unless the name easily stands on it's own. So far among the majority of everyone's top 20 - there are no serious offenders of this Billy rule.

Pedigree. There are just some stallions that I don't like - not gonna list them here - and it has nothing to do with that stupid shit people that know jack shit about any of this want to spread about certain stallions. Probably plenty out there that don't have the best soundness records. If you want to pay me enough (and I mean ENOUGH) to do a full scale research project - now's a good time to contact me - but otherwise - speculation can suck it. Tired of hearing people that don't know anything quote people that don't know anything either. This is something for the most part I shant (I said shant) make too many public comments about - sometimes my mouth runs away on Facebook but I'll try to contain it here. Why? Because my reasoning for not liking certain horses does not follow a professional manner. So I would offend plenty and I'm not in the game for keeping myself out of work. (I'm not stupid - just a big smart ass who's learning to keep my mouth shut). Take note - that you can figure out who I don't like by who I won't pick this year. And even then - I'm not consistent - the horse can always win me over.

Appearance. Sometimes - they just don't look good enough to me. Dull, or ugly. This has bitten me plenty as well because my Dad once told me - "a winner is a winner and a lot of ugly horses win races. They aren't as ugly in the winner's circle." So true. But still there is a particular look that I like. Sometimes my Quarter Horse background can skew my thoughts because I like a more muscular physique. Possibly why I've loved plenty of sprinters that lost the Derby. I'm learning.

Connections. There are people out there that rub me the wrong way or have personally pissed me off in the past. Now I am adult enough to not hold a grudge to the point of obsession (only a couple people in my life get to be that hated by me - and they probably aren't smart enough to know who they are - and they don't live in KY). Let's move on. There are people that present themselves in a manner that I don't feel is respectful of the horse or the sport - and sometimes even humanity. So instantly I can't put their horse on my list. This hurts me most of all because I've watched a horse cross many a finish line - 1st. Without my money or love on it's back. My problem. Now - my biggest reason for my attitude here is that our industry has a hard enough time keeping a positive image because only negative publicity makes it to the mainstream - that is the fault of every one that markets any part of racing. So if you - yourself present an image of negativity, carelessness, callousness, what have you. Then YOU aid in downgrading our sport. If you're not a likable person - and want to be yourself at all times - I get that - I'm always myself. Nothing to hide and nothing to gain by hiding. But - if you're not me (likable by most standards - I'm  just guessing - or hoping) then get someone else to speak, for you that is not instantly going to put off everyone. You might lose some personal limelight but that's YOUR fault. Think of the bigger picture. Not everything is about you.
 
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What can make me LIKE a horse for the Derby

Pedigree. As much as there are horses I don't care for - there are 2 that rule my mind. If the sire line or broodmare sire line (?) contain the great and powerful Affirmed or *Caro (IRE) - then we're on. Affirmed always outweighs *Caro (IRE) here. Contenders with him anywhere in their pedigree get the instant vote (like Harlan's Holiday runners). The best ever is a mix of both my boys - however - that leans toward more turf miler than dirt classic. Basically very few have had either. Off the top of my head Quintana (by Affirmed, lost), Winning Colors (by Caro, 1st), Tejano Run (by Tejano, by Caro, 2nd), Talkin Man (by With Approval, by Caro, lost), Harlan's Holiday (by Harlan out of Affirmed mare, lost), and so on. There are others - but no point of going on and on about my illness. A horse from certain families also applies here - like last year with Chocolate Candy - family of Affirmed. How could I lose? Oh I did.

Connections. If a horse was sold by a client, related to a horse of a friend or client, connected to a horse I once worked with - or is a horse I worked with - then there is a big chance that horse goes on the list. Sometimes sentimentality rules the world of the Derby - not for everyone because we are all touched differently by these athletes. I ALWAYS bet a horse that is sentimental - because nothing would be worse than not winning - while winning. See Alphabet Soup in the Breeders' Cup Classic at Woodbine. I LOVE THAT HORSE. I didn't bet because I thought Cigar would kick everyone's ass - I lost and lost. Use your head and your heart.

Past Performances. Many times I have talked myself into a horse - that otherwise is overlooked. So many people consider only the last prep before the Derby. Some people base their pick on an overwhelming performance during the horses career. I have to look at it all. Nowadays it's wonderful because of the option of race replays online. This helped me with Mine That Bird last year Sure - sentimental pick as well - but when my friend Ed DeRosa said "he got bad rides in NM," I watched those races and instantly agreed - then I thought that if you remove those races - the record is pretty good - and he is a champion. Back on his game - he could hit the board. BAM!

At this point in this year - I have some horses I am growing a fondness for but don't my favorite yet.

Today I have narrowed it all down to 12 horses that I'm considering in order of preference. There are reasons - but why don't I save that for more blog entries?

Noble's Promise - because of his Rebel S. performance and connections.
Setsuko - because of his pedigree
Backtalk - because of his pedigree
Conveyance - because of his pedigree and record
Interactif - I'm still not sure why yet - but something to like.
Lookin at Lucky - because of his Rebel S. performance
Alphie's Bet - because of his pedigree
The Program - because of his pedigree
Drosselmeyer - because he beat my boy Prince Will I Am so I'm holding on for a bit.
Tempted to Tapit - because Tapit is slowly reaching into Affirmed/Caro territory with me.
Super Saver - he's on because of his 2yo career - he needs to improve from the Tampa Bay Derby greatly to keep me on him.
Mendip - only because he's a son of Harlan's Holiday - I need to see more.

Overall - it's more than a game to me. I realize fully that no matter what - you can handicap to your hearts content - and lose. You can draw a name out of a hat and win. So much is based on luck. When it comes right down to it - that is why it's so appealing - anyone can win. I just like it best when it's me.

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Kentucky Derby Picks of the Past, 2000-2009 (How I've faired over the years - part 4 of the series)

As I close in on the end of the past I've realized this trip down memory lane has really helped me start getting excited for the 2010 Kentucky Derby. In fact I may even be excited about the eventual match up of Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta. Rehashing the past has given me a refreshed passion for the future. So much so that today I played on http://zipseatthetrack.blogspot.com/ and his weekly Who Am I? Trivia game. Usually I do have to hunt around for the answer - but today - there was no research - I had the correct answer in 2 minutes. Why am I telling you this? Because it's a sign to me that the juices are flowing and maybe I really am loving the race horse - again.

2000 - this Derby has me a little more than disoriented. Why I went to the races that day I don't know. I had been through several surgeries - don't ask - and I was in no condition to stand all day in the heat near the paddock, near the drunks (jealous much?), near the almost excitement. By the time the giant gap of life before the Derby hit - I was beyond miserable. My partner asked if I wanted to head to his mom's "we can make it before the race easy." He asked this at risk of getting a shocked and hateful "are you fuckin' kidding me? it's the Derby!" But instead he got "please." We got to his mom's when the horses were on the track for the post parade. Perfect. Fusaichi Pegasus won and I didn't. Wheelaway (5th), Curule (7th), Captain Steve (8th). Billy loses.

2001 - This was one of the best years. Stepped out of the paddock to a table with my friend Beth - and West Point's Terry Finley, his wife, and their kids. Can  I tell you that this was a ROUGH weekend. I went out Thursday night - getting home in time to get a little sleep, get up and pick up my girls. Drank ALL DAY on Oaks day (btw - I do not and cannot hang like this anymore), drove home, went out again, same sleep pattern, put on suit #2, Drank all day. Btw, the Finley's were more adult acting than Beth and I who were bottomless funnels. It was Derby time. We got pulled out to the original 'real' Millionaire's Row. Seated in front of me? Courtney Cox and David Arquette. To my right? Crystal Gayle (the first album I ever bought yo!) To my left? Kidd Rock and Pamela Anderson. NOW! She at this time was a big deal to me (breasts smaller than Crystal Gayle) but she is no longer even worthy of further commentary. Beth and I were smack dab in the middle of celebrity - but when they broke from the gate - it was about horses - the real celebs of the day. I had on my Monarchos pin - and we were screaming and jumping like 6yo's at a Disney parade. The rest? stood there like they were watching Golf, Bowling, NASCAR. Dullards. Crystal Gayle smiled at me - and that proved to me that SHE got it. Billy wins - PETA sucks. That blonde btw - had yet to start her chicken fight she was there to party. Don't let anyone tell you differently. Because they're lying. That night I went to the U2 concert in Lexington and then went out. Monday I started at Hartwell Farm - helping them prep yearlings in the a.m.

2002 - This year I watched from home I believe (didn't I? anyone? anyone? Bueller? So having worked at Jonabell Farm, of course I was a big fan of Essence 'of Dubai (uh that's where he's from yo, out of Epitome!) however, he managed 9th place. Billy sad. I was once obsessed with an Affirmed mare named Christmas in Aiken - lo and behold she ends up as the dam of Harlan's Holiday - who I still love as a sire. He finished 7th. Billy sad. The winner? War Emblem - Billy sick. Billy loses.

2003 - thanks Kelly, thanks Liane - first year IN the paddock. To a lot of hangers on types and such this isn't a big deal but with my business and my jobs I'm not on the side that is trying to get somewhere on someone else's coattails. Take note. I'm not being assy - I'm just not ass kissy. I'm me - all me. So my picks were Buddy Gil and Brancusi. The latter I had prepped at Hartwell Farm and he nearly drowned when he didn't bother to swim after lap 1 in the pool. He got his leg over the inside lead taking it from the other handler (Sandra? Robbie? can't remember). I drug him to the ramp and he and I collapsed together. One of the most frightening experiences in my life - yet I saw in him that he was no longer the ass he tried to play in the paddock and in the stall - he was thankful. Buddy Gil finished 6th and Brancusi finished last. Awesome! just like the pool. A funny aside (pun) on Funny Cide. As he came into the paddock my friend Liane and I were looking at him like - whatever - he's run his race. Looked like a crack whore that just wandered naked into church. Sweatin', gnashing, crazy eyed, wore out and tense. Surprise! He wins. Billy loses.

2004 - the highlight of this year? Standing 2 feet from Latoya Jackson in the paddock. I was so well behaved - I didn't ask her "hey girl where's Janet? I have to show her the tattoo of her with a derby hat on my shoulder and her eye just up and to the right of my junk!" Security! I smiled and she smiled and that was that. Other than taking her picture. My pics? Tapit (9th - but hey he got it done in the breeding shed - so awesome), Friends Lake (15th) and Minister Eric (16th). Smarty Jones won. Billy loses.

2005 - I'd lost every race on the under card and was thinking - shit I hate this day. I hadn't cashed ANYTHING. But I had my bets down for the Derby. This was the last year I did the special room with Kelly and Liane. I was a big fan of Spanish Chestnut (because I am a big fan of his sire Horse Chestnut (SAf)) but he only led for 6 furlongs and faded to 16th. I also like Sort it Out - he couldn't beat Spanish Chestnut (17th). But I also had GIACOMO so there! I love Holy Bull - didn't on the track but began to totally respect him as a sire when I was at Jonabell. A sire that's done what he has should be way more respected but this industry just doesn't get it sometimes. Anyway - my day was about to end with $0 and it turned around to my $5 across on Giacomo becoming $420.50. Billy wins!!!!!!!

2006 - I've begun to typically stick with 3 horses most generally because of my obsession with trifectas. Especially in a 20 horse race full of chance. I had Bob and John (17th - thanks), Flashy Bull (14th) and of course, Barbaro (winner!). Before you get too carried away - I'm not one of those people - that came onto the scene and loved him because he got hurt in the Preakness, because he later died. I'm not sick nor pathetic. I am a fan of horse racing. I like it for all the good it is to me. From what I can tell about the so called Friends of Barbaro - they are the same type of people that had to take the day off in high school because someone they saw in the hallways died in a car wreck. I'm not knocking respect and grief - I'm knocking fake ass bullshit. Some people say any fan of racing is a good thing. At this point - I will disagree because fans that don't actually respect, believe in or understand our sport - are worthless to me. They don't go to the races to have a good time - they go in hopes to see something tragic so they can cry and say they loved that horse. They are as bad for the sport as PETA and HSUS, Gill and Paragallo. Billy wins.

2007 - I'm on fire! My actual favorite was Hard Spun (2nd) but I also liked Sam P. (9th) and Street Sense (winner!) I was in awe of the top 3 finishers (Curlin was 3rd) because Street Sense was outstanding, Hard Spun tried so very hard and Curlin shocked me to get up for 3rd. I just thought the task was a lot to ask of him - and he proved me wrong. Billy wins - 3 years in a row!

2008 - and the streak ends. Big Brown ruined it. Denis of Cork was my boy - and he finished 3rd. Pyro finished 8th. Court Vision was 13th. Bummed but at least I got a 3rd. This would be the first year of Lovingtheracehorse.com after all the bullshit that surrounded poor Eight Belles. Go back in time and read my very first entry. Learn something. I also had my first trip to the Preakness with my buddy Phil. Desmond went with us but he shopped and had a bawl without me in the way. Phil and I had a great time. (thanks) But since this is a Derby blog (and I don't think I'll be doing my picks for the rest of the Triple Crown races - in this format - UNLESS I get 100 comments asking me to do so - there's your challenge - now we'll see if you care, ha). Billy loses.

2009 - if you don't know by now - this year capped my 5th winner of this decade! My friend Pete made the comment "Billy always finds a way to have the impossible long shot." or something like that - guess I shouldn't use quotes but whatever - I'm the boss of this shit. My horses: Chocolate Candy (5th), Friesan Fire (18th) and MINE THAT BIRD (winner!) My exact words from last year's Derby preview.
Mine That Bird: Now you know I have a special connection to this guy and that's important to me. I also wouldn't bet him if he had NO chance. I've heard from several "experts" that think he shouldn't be here. There are always plenty of those. Ignore those NM races because he got bad rides! BAD. He has Calvin Borel who knows how to ride a closer/stalker at Churchill Downs. A son of Birdstone out of a Smart Strike mare? Love it - will run all day - will run on anything and is my tasty longshot - for so many reasons. By the way - he's the only champion in this field.
Had I been smart enough to respect Pioneer ofthe Nile - I'd be wealthier. Had my friend Ed remembered he talked me into Mine that Bird. We'd have quit our jobs. Hindsight is rough on a longshot.  Billy wins!

The 00's

 Picks 1st 2nd  3rd  win % 
 26  5  1  1  19%

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Electra Woman and Dyna Girl

I don't usually bother reporting News because so many other blogs only do that - but this is kind of important. Here is the NTRA press release for Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta's 2010 debuts - live coverage.

SEASONAL DEBUTS OF RACHEL ALEXANDRA, ZENYATTA TO BE SHOWN LIVE ON NTRA.COM

Other Key Races to be Webcast Live as Part of NTRA Interactive Initiative

The National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA) announced today that the organization’s Website, NTRA.COM, will offer free, live video streaming this Saturday of the seasonal debuts of both 2009 Horse of the Year Rachel Alexandra and the undefeated Champion Zenyatta. Rachel Alexandra will make her 2010 bow in the New Orleans Ladies Stakes from Fair Grounds, while Zenyatta will compete later that day in the Grade I Santa Margarita Invitational Handicap at Santa Anita.  The New Orleans Ladies and the Santa Margarita are expected to serve as preps for Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta, respectively, prior to their scheduled showdown in the April 9 Apple Blossom Invitational at Oaklawn Park. Post time for the New Orleans Ladies is slated for 6:15 p.m. (ET), and the Santa Margarita is set for 6:40 p.m. (ET). Both races also will be televised live on HRTV.

Saturday’s Webcast will begin at 6 p.m. (ET) and is the first of a series of races leading to the Triple Crown and Breeders’ Cup World Championships that will be Webcast live on NTRA.COM. The series, called NTRA Live!”, will be hosted by ESPN analyst and NFL Network host Randy Moss. NTRA Live! will feature interviews with handicappers and on-track analysts, interactive chats with viewers, pre-and post-race analysis, handicapping selections, easy access to free past performance data and advance deposit wagering platforms, as well as other original and unique programming components. The programs will be produced and directed by Tim Turrell, who has produced numerous telecasts on horse racing and other sports for ESPN, The Golf Channel and others.

“There is obviously immense interest in Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta, and we can think of no better way to launch NTRA Live! than through a worldwide Webcast of their 2010 debuts,” said Keith Chamblin, senior vice president of the NTRA. “Our goal is to deliver high-quality broadcasts of these important races to a worldwide audience. We also want to take advantage of this Web-based platform by utilizing content elements that wouldn’t necessarily be available to us via traditional programming.”

Following Saturday’s Webcast, NTRA Live will continue on March 20 with the Webcast of the Florida Derby from Gulfstream Park. Other races on the schedule, which is expected to include 15-20 Webcasts during the year, include the March 28 Sunland Derby from Sunland Park Racetrack and Casino and the April 17 Coolmore Lexington Stakes from Keeneland.

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Kentucky Derby Picks of the Past, the 90's (How I've faired over the years - part 3 of the series)

We roll into the 90's as I'm preparing an escape from the Land of Enchantment (Entrapment if you're a native New Mexican). During this same time my first horse to race was also nearing her first start. An Exciting decade of new beginnings. However not so exciting for me in the early stages of the Derby Decade.

1990 - I was in Las Cruces, NM visiting my friend Christine Freeman (she's a day older than me). I watched the race on her 2 inch tv or maybe it was a 13 inch. Even on that small screen the moment with Carl Nafzger and Frances Genter as Unbridled was heading to the wire was epic. However, my picks Thirty Six Red, Real Cash and Dr. Bobby A. are still running I believe.  9th, 11th and 12th. Billy loses. But at least my horse would win in her 3rd start later that year.

1991 - you must know by now that I could not stand Strike the Gold. COULD NOT. Don't care - don't cry to me about it. Yuck. With that my choices were 5th - Fly so Free and 6th - Quintana (by Affirmed). The latter made a great move and I thought my man was gonna get in there. But alas the horse I liked the least in that crop wins. Billy loses. My horse won an allowance that year for me. So not all was lost.

1992 - closing in! as usual I didn't care about what comes from Arkansas. Why? Cause I'm a bitch and I have to pick places I don't believe match up to the level I like. Arkansas - that's you. Lil E. Tee won after a trip through Oaklawn and a win at Turfway (Latonia, whatever it might have been called at that time.) My picks? Casual Lies (2nd), Technology (10th). 2nd can almost be more hard to deal with than off the board. Really liked Casual Lies. Billy loses.

1993 - most likely one of my least favorite years in Derby history. Sea Hero won - great story - but not my pick. No - I had Bull inthe Heather (a rockin 11th - all bull no heather), El Bakan (18th) and Tossofthecoin (last - 19th). Awesome. I was getting ready to end my exciting life in retail in Farmington, NM to hit the big time of the Thoroughbred industry - with my hot white Mercury Topaz and $200. Billy loses.

1994 - another year that I wasn't in love with.  Go for Gin wins (I have a nickname for him that I can't share). My horse of choice? 2nd place finisher Strodes Creek. I really thought I had that one nailed down. Billy loses.

1995 - oh look - another 2nd! Six years into the decade and no wins. My Dad had Thunder Gulch - I had Tejano Run (2nd) that's a $480 exacta that we didn't bet. I also had Talkin Man (love! 2nd at the head of the stretch - and then 12th), and the great Serena's Song (16th - one of the stars of the 1st Breeders' Cup I had ever attended - with my Dad. So awesome). yet - Billy loses.

1996 - So I cashed a ticket on the winner Grindstone - but to be fair - I did not pick him - I was head over heals about his entry mate - Editor's Note (6th). I also had 3rd place finisher Prince of Thieves. I'd now been in KY for closing in on 4 years - and had yet to see the Derby live - but guess what the next year would bring? not a winner. Billy loses

1997 - Silver Charm took the roses - without accolades from me. I mean - I wasn't mad at him just didn't pick him. You would think I'd have picked Free House (and I did but not to win - he was 3rd by the way). To me that horse was flat out star power, hot flashy gorgeous - like all the guys I like (well). I saw Pulpit for the 1st time in the paddock at Keeneland for the Blue Grass S. - and was almost immediately over the moon. I don't usually fall for the bandwagon horse - but this one was breathtaking. He finished 4th. Billy loses - but also wins because I watched this race from the backside at Churchill Downs. My first Derby! This would be the year someone yelled to me while walking on the track to the grandstand "Billy Idol" - I just curled my lip an waved.

1998 - all year I had cheered on Real Quiet because he had made a start (a losing one - and I say that only because too many people say he won) in New Mexico at 2. For whatever reason - I was off him when the Derby hit. Once again on the backside at Churchill, my horse was Old Trieste (10th). I could have killed myself after the finish. But lucky for you - I did not. Billy loses.

1999 - a year that will live deep within my soul. No - not a winner for me but I spent the weeks leading up to the Derby doing interviews for newspapers, tv, and most importantly ESPN Magazine. All because of my colorful tattoo on my back - complete with the Twin Spires, Hot Air balloons, 5 horses and Janet Jackson in a derby hat. I watched the Derby from the paddock this year with my friend Beth and cheered on my pick that was in print in ESPN magazine. Menifee. He was 2nd. At least I didn't seem stupid to the world. Billy loses.

The 90's came and went as my least favorite decade for the Derby. Can't win them all right? Take note - not a winner since Winning Colors. When would this drought end? Wait for the '00s coming in a few days.

Who did you win with? Lose with?

The 90's

 Picks 1st  2nd  3rd  win % 
 20 4 2

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Kentucky Derby Picks of the Past, the 80's (How I've faired over the years - part 2 of the series)

(if you missed part 1 here it is http://lovingtheracehorse.com/2010/03/04/pick-an-apple--pick-a-pair-no-i-didnt-mean-pear--a-series.aspx)

My first Derby winner (that I picked - not owned, still waiting on that) was Gato Del Sol. That was in 1982 (are you old enough to ride this ride?) I may be a huge Affirmed worshiper but I was like 8 years old (if I even want to admit my age) when he won and I really can't say I remember that year, Spectacular Bid or Genuine Risk. All 3 being horses which I appreciate their dominance and power. I actually started paying attention in 1981 when 2 little New Mexico horses hit the scene.

1981 - Bold Ego and Pass the Tab both had roots in New Mexico (my birth state yo). I only picked them because they were stakes winners that I'd heard of and my Dad told me about them. There has to be a beginning right? Bold Ego won 3 of NM's top 2yo races: New Mexico Futurity, Riley Allison Futurity, Rio Grande Kindergarten Futurity before heading to Oaklawn Park as a 3-year-old and taking the Rebel S. and Arkansas Derby-G1. He had the lead after a mile before fading to 10th - later he was 2nd in the Preakness S.-G1 (the race that has eluded all New Mexicans - ha). Pass the Tab had won the Santa Fe Futurity (no longer exists along with Santa Fe Downs) at 2 and was on the board in several Florida Derby preps. He was 3rd after a mile but faded to 6th. Billy loses.

1982 - As I mentioned above - I picked Gato Del Sol, but I also liked the filly Cupecoy's Joy. I had to watch this race later on news replays as me and my Dad were at McGee Park. This was the local racetrack in Bloomfield, NM that was at the time - only calcutta wagering (don't ask - it's basically illegal) and later became San Juan Downs (where I had my first win as an owner/breeder) and is now known as SunRay Park. We stood atop the scary wooden bleachers (I always thought I'd fall to my death) and the small mostly Quarter Horse, Appaloosa crowd listened to the call over the P.A. system (so you really heard nothing but noise). I couldn't understand a word but as the announcer called Gato Del Sol my Dad said "shit! I shoulda bet your horse you picked this morning." And so began an addiction to finding a longshot. Luckily many years later in 2000 I got to be associated with Gato's homecoming at Stone Farm when I worked for their ad agency The Bell Group. A special moment. Billy wins.

1983 - you have to remember (or maybe know for the first time) that during this time there were only 3 channels on tv and occasionally we got a derby prep on Wide World of Sports. But you always had to wade through a bunch of sports a boy like me didn't care about to get 10 minutes of horse racing. Wasting most of your day (not like now where I waste the entire day watching every race possible on TVG and HRTV - wait - not a waste) trying to find a horse you might like. My choices this year were Slew o' Gold and Marfa (because of that Blue Grass S.-G1 savage moment - hot!). Slew o' Gold sadly finished 4th and Marfa finished 5th. Another "full circle" moment - I got to Billy loses.

1984 - I was a Swale (winner) fan but my year was crushed with Time for a Change and Dr. Carter didn't make it to the Derby. I was suckered in by the very impressive record setting Arkansas Derby win of the filly Althea and her classy stablemate Life's Magic (take note - HUGE Eugene V. Klein fan here, I mean how could I not be? One of his first G1 winners was Miss Huntington). Althea lead for 6 furlongs and faded to 19th, Life's Magic finished 8th and stayed in my heart forever. Billy loses.

1985 - oh suck. Wasn't a Spend a Buck fan. LOVED Tank's Prospect (yay Preakness win!) but he was 7th in the Derby. A 3 year streak of losses! not even on the board. Billy loses.

1986- more suck for me. Mogambo and Groovy (yeah I love a sprinter). Mogambo was my horse because I loved his Champagne win at 2. I should have stopped there - he finished 10th. Groovy led for 6 furlongs and finished last. I did get to work with his sister Cookie as a yearling my first year in Kentucky. The first yearling I prepped. I felt so honored. Billy loses.

1987 - I was head long into my love of Spendthrift Farm (back then they really made me feel welcome - senior in High School - by answering my questions, sending me info, etc.) so I had On the Line (10th), Candi's Gold (8th) and Avies Copy (3rd), all by Spendthrift stallions. However, I couldn't let go of Alysheba. I told my Dad after the 1986 Breeders' Cup Juvenile when he ran 3rd that he would win the Derby. When Derby time came around I told him my picks - all 4. He asked "can't you just pick a horse you like and stick to it?" I said "not just one, I don't want to hurt anyone's feelings." You would thought I was 8 but I was 17 and so began a slight level of crazy (like now when I think the cast of Will & Grace are my friends). Billy wins.

1988 - hell yeah. Probably the best year ever for me. I picked one horse, Winning Colors early in the year and everyone said I was crazy. She was the epitome of the perfect Derby horse for me. Her sire was *Caro (IRE) (my 2nd favorite stallion of all time and stood at Spendthrift), she was out of a daughter of Bold Hour (stood at Spendthrift), she was owned by Eugene Klein. She was big and beautiful, gray and breathtaking. I was living in Lexington going to school at the Kentucky Horse Park. My Dad had flown out to drive back to NM with me as the program I was in had ended. We cheered in my studio apartment for our horses - me the filly, Dad - Forty Niner. What a great moment for racing, for the Triple Crown and for a father and son. I know a lot of people were fans - but she's tattooed with Flawlessly and Affirmed on my right arm - that's fan appreciation. I was honored to take her for a walk at Keeneland one day at the November sale. A moment I still get goosebumps over. Billy wins.

1989 - close but not close enough. My Dad LOVED Sunday Silence (winner)- I was like - whatever (funny when you look back). I loved Easy Goer (2nd - dammit) and Houston (there almost til the end - when it matters). In the lead for a mile, 3rd entering the stretch - 8th. Thanks. Billy loses.

The 80's
 Picks 1st   2nd  3rd  win %
 17  3  1  1  18%

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Pick an Apple - Pick a Pair (no I didn't mean Pear) - a series

It's March 4th. I woke up this a.m. with a migraine - on the couch because the snoring in the bedroom was unbearable. I'm a light sleeper when it comes to noise as it is and if I get woke up by sound - I'm awake and usually not impressed. I moved to the couch with my French Bulldog Beau to get some peace and quiet.

I started this blog a week ago at the suggestion of my friend Margaret Layton and just haven't really found the story in it. Until I woke up this morning.

It sounds like Spring outside - and with the blinds closed it almost looked like it could be. The sun was shining (not my favorite for a migraine) and I could hear a lone bird chirping. I remember when that sound used to piss me off - and now somehow it makes me smile, even with a migraine.

Of course - I didn't start rewriting this entry until the migraine was nearly passed. I can't even think of focusing on such with all that pain - especially when it would please me most to cut out my eye that was throbbing. What allowed me to have this moment was that I can't sleep with that pain - and I must find somewhere else to concentrate my mind - besides the spinning, nausea and pain. I took the drugs and put the aroma therapy pillow that I heated up in the microwave - almost to scalding, branding pain - on my face and began breathing in and out. During that process the Kentucky Derby started entering my head.

As you may or may not know I've been struggling to find the passion off and on that once consumed my entire being when it comes to horse racing. Part of the issue for me is that after being actually in the world as more than a fan, as an employee, a breeder, an owner, a businessman (wow - I've once again called myself a man - I still feel like a boy), a supporter, etc. - I know more than before and I can't just go by blind love and excitement.

Growing up picking a Derby horse to honor and cherish up to (and hopefully beyond) the first Saturday in May was fire like. I daydreamed in class about it. Sure that may be the reason I graduated with a 2.7 GPA - but don't think I'm average (or ignorant) - I'm realizing now that I was bored. By now - if you EVER thought of me as average - you must be one hellacious whack job.

I used to pick my Derby horses mostly because of their sire. I spent countless hours each week following certain stallions progeny so that I could cheer them on down the road. I would make notes of where sons (and daughters) of Affirmed, *Caro (IRE), (my favorites) were running - the races, the tracks and the possible next race. As they would impress (or not) I would remove them from my list. Always having a favorite no matter what the result.

I could not pick a horse with a bad name. A name that would best be suited for a $5k claimer or gelding. Which is why horses like Demons Begone, Lil E Tee, would never make my list (besides not being in love with their sires - for no particular reason). One of those I was right - the other - clearly wrong. But to me - to pick a Derby horse is to pick a Triple Crown prospect. Would I want a horridly named horse to go down in history along the classy names like Affirmed, Secretariat, Citation? No - shant.

As I got older (haven't grown up) - and moved to Kentucky to one day fulfill a dream - I started changing my strategy - ALWAYS having Affirmed and sons of *Caro (IRE) in the forefront of the list but also leaning towards horses I worked with as yearlings at Three Chimneys Farm and Jonabell Farm. As well as offspring of stallions at those farms. The list began to grow when I began working for The Bell Group - dropping Three Chimneys stallions and adding those of farms we did advertising for - like Claiborne Farm, Pin Oak Stud, and others.

Gone were the days of picking for pure fanatic passion. One way or another my picks became by association. By the time I started my business I was picking more because of what the end result could do for a client (because it really doesn't do shit for me). When Derby day came and went - I felt less than enthralled most of the time because I had picked a horse that most often didn't measure up - and picked because of someone else's need - not my excitement. Now - don't get me wrong - it is more than exciting to be this closely involved in the world of Thoroughbred racing and actually have a connection somehow to a Derby starter.

How many kids from New Mexico can say they know the owner or worked with a horse that ran in the Kentucky Derby? Probably more than you think - but overall - not many.

After a while I've come to realize that part of my lack of passion is my own fault. Not that of being to attached. I want everyone I worked for/with to win at some point. You know in a field of 20 even THAT is a hard task to complete. After Mine That Bird came along for me last year - the first time I've been emotional over a Derby win since Winning Colors - I've been put back in my own drivers seat. Sure that was cheering on a connection - but not for the same reasons as cheering on Monarchos (sire stood at Pin Oak Stud) and Giacomo (sire stood at Jonabell).

So here it is March 4th, 2010 and I don't have a Derby horse to cheer on as yet. So this series is my way of finding that horse. I will look back at who I've picked since Bold Ego and Pass the Tab in 1981 to 2009 Mine That Bird, Chocolate Candy, Mr Hot Stuff and Friesan Fire - and why I chose them. The series will wrap up with my 2010 probables - mixed with handicapping and passion.

Feel free to chime in along the way with who you like and why - and take note - I'm not going to approve your comment if it's something childish like "he was pretty" or "because she was a filly" - I want more than that - and I will NO LONGER bother with approving comments that attack the racing industry.

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Doing A Disservice - for Too Long

Today I read a blog - that I don't intend to read again.

I try hard to make this positive here - or at least informative. When you post your opinion for the world (or my world) to read - you have to be in some way honorable. If you're not going to research what you're talking about (whatever the subject) then what you do is become nothing more than tabloid bullshit.

The blog is something like fuglyblog.com - I'm not putting the link up because I don't really want to promote it. The creator seems to run her mouth heavily about things she doesn't know anything about. She is yet another "rescuer" that likes to say she loves horses but she clearly hates horse racing. She doesn't nothing that I can see that promotes the sport - she just tears it down.

I was alerted to the blog by a friend who noticed she was bad mouthing one of my clients. I'll not stand for that - at all. She states that she read online - that Claiborne Farm (celebrating 100 years in 2010 - can anyone else claim that longevity? AND quality? - I'd love to know) refuses to hire stallion handlers or grooms. Then she is dumb enough to say she didn't bother to check that out.

1st off - if she ever paid any attention - she'd see that there are women as grooms at Claiborne. But you'd have to get off your ass to do so. 2nd - most women don't want to handle stallions - therefore - they aren't applying for such jobs most places. Before some idiot comments - take note that Warmbloods are not Thoroughbreds - so do not make a stupid remark and try to compare. Thoroughbreds are intense - calculating - thoughtful horses - and the stallions are rarely gullible or stupid.

There are several women that handle Thoroughbred Stallions throughout the US. She makes stupid statements about women in the industry - and it's clear she's talking about an industry she isn't in. I've been in this industry for going on 17 years. I've worked with more women than men (including when I prepped yearlings at Three Chimneys - thanks Rachel Southwood and the late Lorena Mullins). My bosses have mostly been women - including Benny Bell Williams when I was at Jonabell Farm. She is probably the best horseman (excuse me horseperson) I know. I deal personally with more women than men when it comes to my public auction clients, including trainer Michelle Nihei and Claiborne Farm's Dell Hancock.

What I notice most in the world of equality of the sexes is that women do more disservice to themselves than anyone. If I hear one more woman tell me that she can't get a job because she doesn't have a penis. Do you realize that you just proved you don't deserve the job? Because you think automatically that having a penis is better than not? I hear this type comment more from people who are not qualified than people that are deservedly hired. It's the same with anyone that thinks they are the best - but do not realize they don't have the qualifications. Sure because of some laws that were passed because people in charge at one point in business weren't smart enough to hire the most qualified person they just hired the white guy.

You know what I'm talking about. Nowadays that idea has changed because people across this land have realized that if they want to succeed they need to move forward and not hire people based on sex, race, relation, sexual preference. They are learning to hire based on - who will help move my company forward? Some industries do better than others - but the people that don't get hired and complain about it being because they aren't white, black, straight, male, etc. - do themselves a disservice. You didn't get hired - because someone else did - whatever the reason - you certainly didn't win them over. Improve yourself and stop complaining because - you're just stepping backward.

Women like this fugly woman (I use that only because of her blog - I don't know her at all - and could care less to meet her - thanks) are doing nothing for moving other women forward. -- Why? Because she's not smart enough to learn before she talks.

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Sex Still Sells - Time to Sex Up Horse Racing

1st off - I'm working on a claiming blog - but finding out tons of info during the process - so It's becoming more and more serious and involved. Which is exciting. So stay tuned as I research that aspect.

Now on to something a little closer to my heart - hot nude guys. - Oh come on straight guys and bible thumpers - don't stop reading.

For several years now our racing friends down under have been putting out a charity related calendar with nude photos (or nearly nude) of jockeys. I've been shown tidbits of the 2010 calendar  and well - it's worth the buy. Jockeys are fit! A lot of muscled packed into a powerhouse body.

So it was mentioned on a friends Facebook page that they should do it here - and turns out the Jockey's Guild is working on a charity calendar for 2011! Sweet. Rumor has it they are looking for model suggestions. So - here are my 12 jockeys that I would prefer to see nude (in no particular order).

Before I give the list - I will say that I don't REALLY want to see them nude. I do not spend time thinking about this (ok - I'm spending time right now but not a usual past time). This is a blog first of all - and if sex sells - I might as well throw sex in my title so that I get more hits by pervs and weirdos right? I have no problem with nudity - unless it's mine in one of those f'd up dreams I used to have as a kid standing in line coming in from recess and everyone else is clothed but me - and I float. I frickin' hated those dreams - it was always cold - I swear it was the cold.

Anyway - here's my nudes - and I honestly believe it would be wise to split it up - girls and guys calendars:

Alex Solis - I must say that I've never really thought of him as a hottie - but I have seen some pictures of him NOT in jockey attire - and shirtless and let's just say - for a 45-year-old man (which is not old damnit but you know how people think) he is the most fit I've ever seen.

Channing Hill - kind of a boy next door look - and was born the year I graduated High School (thanks age awareness league) which makes him the same age as my nephew and now that I'm typing this I'm freaking out because in my nephew is a little boy and this just creeping me out. However I'm sure he would be great for attracting young girls (and boys) and maybe some lecherous weirdos and cougars.

Moving on. Geez I'm suddenly reconsidering this blog. I've so fucked myself already. Sometimes one shouldn't open their mind up for everything to be read. Too late. I'm doing this dammit.

Aaron Gryder - I don't know what it is but he's very attractive to me. Oh here we go again. should I stop? Ok I'm gonna suck it up and go on. No more pussyfootin. Aaron is hot to me - and I know a lot of women who agree. So there!

Iggy Puglisi - I don't know why. I think he's attractive (especially without the hair slicked back) and I really enjoyed him as on air talent on TVG - but I didn't like what I heard about (because I didn't watch) with him on Jockeys. Just made me really sad. - so maybe a nude shot would cheer him up a bit. - Works for me.

Mike Smith - he's always been attractive. Hollywood type face if you ask me. Plus he's big name. (Not that the others aren't but Mike's one that people that don't follow racing actually have heard of - that's key when selling sex). I mean - which video did you Google, buy, download, rent, etc. - Paris Hilton with that no name freak that was married (right?) to Shannon Doherty or - Tommy Lee and Pamela Anderson. You know which one - and you know why.

So anyway - ever notice I can't keep a train of thought? Yeah - imagine what its like in here on a regular basis.

Jeremy Rose - met him once at a party at Churchill Downs. Was kind of shy and quiet - but most people seem that way when I'm at a party. Ha!

Jonathan Joyce - I don't know much about him - but he seems to be having a decent career in Maryland.

Ok - so that's all the men I can come up with. Maybe Brian Hernandez would be ok. Not sure - he has such a young look. Might be too weird. Hey where is Ryan Fogelsonger?  

There are a few women that ride that I think would attract great attention. The obvious would be Chantal Sutherland but since she turned down Playboy because she thought her nudity was worth more - I'm guessing she wouldn't do a charity calendar. Don't know her at all but what came across on Jockeys - made me think she was only pretty on the outside. Maybe I'm the bitch.

Jordan Springer - big ups to my girl. You may not know her as well as Chantal - but she's frickin' hot! Also a damn good rider.

Jenna Joubert - now I don't know her at all but I find her to be very striking!

Clearly Rosemary Homeister would sell some calendars. She's beautiful - GREAT hair.

Basically I think you have to mix the calendar with hot names and hot faces. Jockeys are a hot commodity - just like the horses. They are the OTHER thing crossing the finish line. They are as important to our industry as the horse. We seem to have a problem promoting it because the horses don't race as long as most non-understanding fans would like. What we do have are our OTHER athletes. So since it's already in the works - I think we may finally have something that positively impacts our sports publicity. 

Live Nude Girls - and Guys.  Who would you choose?

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2009 Breeders' Cup Picks

I do not have time to elaborate today but wanted to get my picks out there for you now!

In order of Preference - :

Day 1
Marathon: Father Time, Gangbuster, Nite Light,
JFTurf: Tapitsfly, Junia Tepzia, House of Grace, Smart Seattle, 
            (I love In the Slips and she'd be 1st on my list here if she wasn't on the Also Eligible list)
JFillies: Connie and Michael, She Be Wild, Blind Luck, Negligee,
F/M Turf: Rutherienne, Forever Together, Maram,
F/M Sprint: Informed Decision, Free Flying Soul, Silver Swallow, Ventura
Ladies: Life is Sweet, Proviso, Careless Jewel

Day 2
JTurf: Pounced, Codoy, Viscount Nelson, King Ledley (Summer Movie would have been on my list)
Turf Sprint: Gotta Have Her, Silver Timber, Desert Code, Diamondrella 
Sprint: Fatal Bullet, Fleeting Spirit, Zensational, Capt. Candyman,
Juvenile: Aikenite, Noble’s Promise, Lookin at Lucky, William's Kitten
Mile: Justenuffhumor, Goldikova, Ferneley, Court Vision,
Dirt Mile: Midshipman (he’s the only speed and I normally wouldn't have like him), Furthest Land, 
    Chocolate Candy, Neko Bay, Mastercrafstman
Turf: Spanish Moon, Conduit, Telling
Classic: Mine That Bird (I'll never quit him) Twice Over, Richard’s Kid, Zenyatta,

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Ever Plan a Sale and No One Knew What To Do?

I toyed with not even doing a blog after the Keeneland September Yearling Sale ended. I have such a hard time fitting in the blog fun during this time of year as it is.

If you don't know what I do - then I'll tell you. If you do know - skip ahead - wait don't do that. Just read along - you might learn something and maybe you'll need my service to help you a little bit. Anyway - I put together books of information for consignors at public auction (Thoroughbreds) - that allow them to answer the questions of potential buyers and as well as assist in marketing and pricing the individuals they are selling. So there's that - I am busiest in September and November so I disappear a bit.

Back to business.

We all knew that September would be tough - no one really knew HOW tough. I mean - how could you right? People said that the July sale would gage how the rest of the year would go. But July at Fasig-Tipton is not Keeneland September. It's changing - yes - but seriously you have completely different quality as well as - 2 days compared to 400 (I exaggerate there but if you've ever worked the September Sale - it basically feels similar to 400 days).

So the sale ended down more than 40% from last year - that's drastic. Why? Well there's that whole economy thing going on here in the US (and around the world). That's the main deal - flat out - people aren't investing in us when their investments aren't cutting it for them elsewhere. People with tons of money - lost/are losing more than say ME or you. That's not to say I'm doing good (in case there are gold diggers out there with low expectations - also NOT available) but I don't have a lot of money tied up in pretend ideas or banks or anything like that so people like me don't cry as loud.

With that we have a market that has a lot of people running scared. Before you get to thinking that it's all gloom and doom - my clients did well enough at the sales. No BIG slam dunks - but they sold - and stayed ahead of the game. I'd like to take credit - but I'm not (just before anyone thinks I'm thinking it's because of me). I saw the results of several consignments (not just mine) that did quite well - all things considered. Some did well - without having to make considerations.

So how will this all affect the industry? I'm not sure but IMHO it's going to weed out those people that came to Kentucky with only $$ in their eyes. Not that there's anything wrong with that - because if you don't like money - then you've probably never had any or you probably consider yourself above trying to make money. I consider you a liar or lazy btw. Because if you don't want to make money because you think it's evil or only the MAN makes money - you're just telling me that you're too lazy to actually work. You could easily strive to make money and do some good with it.

I've gone off topic.

There are a lot of people that only were enticed to the industry because of money and a little love for the horse. I don't believe everyone has to be obsessed and passionate about it that works in it. However I do believe if you are in a position that affects other peoples horses, and investments in those horses - it might have been good for you to have some experience with horses. You get more sense of how it all works from a different level.

This glitch in time will eventually pass (we've seen it before) and it will cause some farms to go under and some people to seek another line of employment. Sadly - too many - people I know that truly want to be here because it's their passion are already planning a departure.

A shame.

One last comment: we will should see changes in the stud fee range. Maybe now (and maybe not) stud fees will be set more realistically and based on the sire's results on the track not in the sales ring.

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